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Lawrence E. Bassham & W. Timothy Polk, Threat Assessment of Malicious Code and Human Threats (NISTIR 4939) (Oct. 1992) (full-text).
This report provides an assessment of the threats associated with malicious code and external attacks on systems using commercially available hardware and software. The history of the threat is provided and current protection methods described. A projection of the future threats for both malicious code and human threats is also given.