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Estimative intelligence

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Definitions Edit

Estimative intelligence

uses future scenarios and projections of possible future events to assess potential developments that could affect U.S. national security. By addressing the implications of a range of possible outcomes and alternative scenarios, estimative intelligence helps policymakers to think more strategically about long-term threats.[1]
[is] a type of intelligence that projects or forecasts potential foreign courses of action and developments and discusses their implications for the host nation or its allies; predictive judgment on a possible course of action by a potential enemy in any area of interest to decisionmakers (such as weapons development, weapons employment strategies, overall military tactics and polices, economic capacities, and the like); an appraisal of the capabilities, vulnerabilities, and potential courses of action of a foreign nation or combination of nations in consequence of a specific national plan, policy, decision, or contemplated course of action.[2]

References Edit

  1. U.S. National Intelligence: An Overview 2011, at 61.
  2. Intelligence Warning Terminology, at 18.

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